Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 6.941479 7.946139 9.059826 10.388417 11.933503 13.677554 15.800793
2025-01-12 5.523408 6.798302 8.327727 10.306742 12.812862 15.898025 20.010207
2025-01-19 4.653405 6.031235 7.780477 10.181560 13.418698 17.669698 23.737413
2025-01-26 4.216322 5.703286 7.682042 10.536089 14.593602 20.224732 28.753318
2025-02-02 3.840594 5.387637 7.530907 10.757204 15.560587 22.558098 33.727902
2025-02-09 3.594799 5.211121 7.533469 11.168254 16.814166 25.416728 39.839589
2025-02-16 3.206303 4.778215 7.107359 10.875604 16.945111 26.557919 43.377018
2025-02-23 2.922321 4.468241 6.825492 10.759454 17.316270 28.088881 47.721295
2025-03-02 2.682542 4.200025 6.576177 10.657997 17.682570 29.629405 52.260027
2025-03-09 2.461757 3.939314 6.310297 10.493837 17.911389 30.941491 56.540614
2025-03-16 2.253248 3.678682 6.018232 10.250009 17.964169 31.931692 60.330412
2025-03-23 2.187566 3.649248 6.107333 10.674533 19.255178 35.314215 69.221704
2025-03-30 2.067279 3.518288 6.014280 10.769856 19.961364 37.709800 76.554187
2025-04-06 1.932382 3.350078 5.840414 10.697354 20.336783 39.504483 82.902539
2025-04-13 1.802867 3.180217 5.647819 10.567700 20.580313 41.054335 88.941125
2025-04-20 1.753422 3.151623 5.710711 10.937059 21.869690 44.922672 100.815150
2025-04-27 1.689293 3.089900 5.705036 11.167424 22.893110 48.347423 112.209725
2025-05-04 1.653264 3.078120 5.793044 11.595712 24.386552 52.997178 127.370146
2025-05-11 1.536595 2.900931 5.542260 11.290782 24.230798 53.871862 133.137998
2025-05-18 1.449583 2.775645 5.384894 11.169768 24.474984 55.709033 141.723319
2025-05-25 1.371088 2.661552 5.241068 11.064066 24.741563 57.630811 150.862219
2025-06-01 1.292323 2.541210 5.074967 10.893045 24.834429 59.134893 159.097974
2025-06-08 1.211879 2.411793 4.880122 10.639046 24.699355 60.046224 165.793354